Probability Of Winning Poker

When playing poker, it is important to know the probability of winning a hand. There are all sorts of different hands you can receive, so you need to know if you are likely going to win the hand or if you need to hold out on raising. Although you have a general idea of what cars are worth and what hands are going to be worth more than other hands, knowing and understanding your probability of winning should pay off drastically.

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Starting Hand Probability

When receiving your cards, the best two cards you can receive are obviously two suited cards. These provide the best general odds of winning at 24 percent. If you have one or more aces, your chance of winning is 16.6 percent, while any pair means you have a 6.25 percent chance of winning. No other starting two pair of cards has any significant percentage above five percent. Due to this, unless you have two suited cards or a pair or at least one ace, you depend more than ever on the pre-flop match cards.

Pre-Flop

Before the flop, you are able to determine the probability of winning simply by the cards that you have. If you hold a high pair and your opponent holds a low pair, your probability of winning is 83 percent. If you have a hair pair and your opponent has a low pair, your probability of winning is 82 percent. If you have a middle pair and your opponent has a high and low card, you are going to win 71 percent of the time. On the other hand, if you have two high cards and your opponent has two low cards, you win 63 percent of the time. Finally, if you have two high cards and your opponent has a low pair, your probability of winning sits at 55 percent.

Post-Flop

While playing hold’em, there is a set probability for new cards improving your hand. Non-pairs will pair at least one card roughly 32 percent of the time. Receiving two suited cards is going to help you make a flush 6.5 percent of the time. Two suited cards are going to flop a flush .85 percent of the time, while two suited cards flop a four flush 10.9 percent of the time. A pair is going to flop a set 12 percent of the time while a pair is going to flop four of a kind .25 percent of the time.

There are all sorts of odds that go into playing poker. While this does not cover all of the different odds, as this can take a considerable amount of time going over all of these, it is important to know the basics and what your chances are at improving your cards and how likely it is you are going to win or what you need to look for in the pre-flop. All of this is essential in helping you become a better poker player, no matter the kind of poker.

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